Profile of a housing unit

Sustainable and Affordable Housing Infrastructure

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Sustainable and Affordable Housing Infrastructure

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Infrastructure
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Real Estate
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
> 25% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
> USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 500,000 - USD 1 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Zero Hunger (SDG 2) Quality Education (SDG 4) Gender Equality (SDG 5)

Business Model Description

Invest in the construction of affordable housing units across Pakistan, under a Public-Private Partnership (PPP) model, with a cross-subsidy to cater to the shortfall of housing units. The investment ecosystem is in collaboration with Naya Pakistan Housing Development Authority (NAPHDA). Examples of companies active in this space are:

Reall has been working for over 30 years on building affordable homes. In Pakistan, Reall, through joint venture with Ansaar Management Company (AMC), has financed housing projects in Faisalabad, Lahore and Peshawar. As of 2022, USD 13 Million have been invested to house 929 women and children, with overall 1270 people housed with improved water and sanitation facilities. (8)

Reportedly, considerable success has been realized in developing an agreement with House Building Financial Corporation (HBFC) Bank to provide mortgages for AMC’s clients, with many now receiving these mortgages, and in setting up employee-owned housing schemes with Sitara Chemical Industries Ltd. AMC is also a member of the government’s Affordable Housing Panel. (8)

Expected Impact

The IOA will provide affordable housing to 0.1 million families every year, spread over rural, peri-rural and urban areas.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

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Country
Region
  • Pakistan: Punjab
  • Pakistan: Punjab
  • Pakistan: Punjab
  • Pakistan: Sindh
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Infrastructure

Development Need
As per the 2017 census, Pakistan's housing stock is 32.2 million, of which 39 per cent is urban. The urban population is expected to grow by 2.3 million per year over 20 years. As of 2018, the need was for ten million additional housing units with improved quality as currently, households are overcrowded with people living in informal settlements, and with inadequate access to basic infrastructure and services. (1).

Policy priority
Prime Minister's Construction Package of USD 485 Million was announced for the construction industry. It includes tax relief, deregulation policies, reduction in capital gains tax, reduction of sales tax on construction materials, and amnesty policies. State Bank of Pakistan's policy for low-cost housing provides incentives as well as targets to banks (2).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Women work as unskilled as well as skilled workers in the infrastructure sector and are 19 per cent of the total workforce in this sector. According to the survey conducted by International Labour Organization (ILO), skilled and unskilled women workers reported that the working environment was not supportive, hindering their participation in this sector. (3)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Women and children are the most impacted population segments due to the displacement caused by natural and man-made disasters. The August 2022 floods have resulted in the loss of 2 million homes, exacerbating vulnerabilities, especially for women and children (3)

Investment opportunities
The country’s construction industry accounts for 2.53 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The sector employs 7.61 percent of the employed labor. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) in private sector grew by 20.6 percent between 2019 -20. (2)

Investment opportunity's introduction
Private sector GFCF amounted to more than 95 percent of the total. As of 2018, there is a need for additional ten million housing units in Pakistan demonstrating a clear opportunity for investments in this sector. (2)

Key bottleneck's introduction
The sector faces bottlenecks such as limited public investment in infrastructure and lack of access to finance to private sector as working capital as well as expansion of their business models. Demand side access to finance to make housing affordable for population segments with highest needs is also a bottleneck to growth of this business opportunity. (4)

Sub Sector

Real Estate

Development need
Due to 2022 floods housing infrastructure losses amounted to USD 5.6 Billion. (5) There is a need to build resilient as well as affordable housing in order to meet the growing population demand as well to aid the recovery and reconstruction post 2022 floods.

Policy priority
The Board of Investment, has identified ten sectors as "Priority for Investment", out of which "Housing and Construction" is one of the priority sectors. (2) Naya Pakistan Housing Development Authority (NAPHDA) ensures resilience in terms of structural elements, foundations, filler slabs for ceilings of house. (6)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Due to discrimination and inequality in housing, many women and girls live in insecure, undignified and unsafe conditions, at increased risk of homelessness and violence. Forced evictions and other violations of right to housing, disproportionally impact women, and reinforce existing inequalities, representing barrier to gender equality. (7)

Investment opportunity's introduction
Opportunities exist in public private partnership with National Highway, CPEC infrastructure development, housing construction with Naya Pakistan Housing Development Authority (NAPHDA) (2). NAPHDA aims to add 5 million new housing units (40 percent housing units are planned for urban areas, 40 percent for rural areas and 20 percent for semi-urban areas).

Key Bottleneck's
Both the supply and the demand sides must work well for housing market to perform well. On Supply side incomplete land records make it difficult for developers to buy land and for banks to underwrite mortgages. On Demand side lack of affordable mortgages makes it hard to buy a house. (4)

Industry

Home Builders

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Sustainable and Affordable Housing Infrastructure

Business Model

Invest in the construction of affordable housing units across Pakistan, under a Public-Private Partnership (PPP) model, with a cross-subsidy to cater to the shortfall of housing units. The investment ecosystem is in collaboration with Naya Pakistan Housing Development Authority (NAPHDA). Examples of companies active in this space are:

Reall has been working for over 30 years on building affordable homes. In Pakistan, Reall, through joint venture with Ansaar Management Company (AMC), has financed housing projects in Faisalabad, Lahore and Peshawar. As of 2022, USD 13 Million have been invested to house 929 women and children, with overall 1270 people housed with improved water and sanitation facilities. (8)

Reportedly, considerable success has been realized in developing an agreement with House Building Financial Corporation (HBFC) Bank to provide mortgages for AMC’s clients, with many now receiving these mortgages, and in setting up employee-owned housing schemes with Sitara Chemical Industries Ltd. AMC is also a member of the government’s Affordable Housing Panel. (8)

Business Case

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Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

> USD 1 billion

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

5% - 10%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

The government aims to add 5 million housing units with per unit cost of USD 10,500.

According to government estimates as of early December 2020, 389 projects worth USD 1 Billion have been registered with the government to take leverage the tax benefits enacted in the construction package. (9)

Population growth, migration from rural areas, and the deterioration of existing homes is driving the shortage of housing in urban areas. The housing gap in Punjab - Pakistan’s largest province by population - was estimated at 2.3 million units in 2017 and is expected to skyrocket to 11.3 million units by 2047. (10)

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

> 25%

GPM
Describes an expected percentage of revenue (that is actual profit before adjusting for operating cost) from the IOA investment.

> 25%

As per Naya Pakistan Housing Development Authority's estimates, with facilitation offered by the government, private sector has submitted 317 proposals under the Naya Pakistan Housing and Development Authority (NAPHDA) for construction of more than 3 million housing units. In 2021, around 45,000 Low-Cost Housing Units were under construction including Punjab Peri Urban Housing Scheme. (13)

As per Economic Survey 2021, private sector credit observed an expansion. One of the sectors that posted higher credit expansion include the Construction (USD 0.14 Billion). In Mar-Jul 2022 Building sector had unprecedented growth of 64.3 percent as compared to 17.2 percent in same time previous year (14)

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Estimates for investment timeframe is based on inputs from NAPHDA for time required for land acquisition, build, sale and ownership transfer to retail consumers. (13)

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 500,000 - USD 1 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Affordable housing is supported by allied industries in the construction sector but requires intensive capital deployments throughout the project lifecycle.

Capital - Requires Subsidy

In case of Public Private Partnership (PPP) with NPHDA, costs need to be cross subsidized for developers of housing schemes.

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

On the supply side, fragmented and incomplete land records make it difficult for developers to buy land for housing development and for banks to underwrite mortgages. On the demand side, the lack of affordable mortgages makes it hard to buy a house.

Impact Case

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Sustainable Development Need

The influx of people to cities, coupled with rising land prices, cost of construction material, impact of climate change, and the lack of adequate public-sector resources and capacity has resulted in growing rates of informality, inequality and substandard housing. (16)

A critical component to adequate housing is affordability, requiring that families do not need to choose between housing and other necessities. Adequate housing reduces vulnerability to economic, social, health and climate related shocks and disasters. (16)

The need for housing units in just Punjab province has been estimated to be 2.3 million but is expected to skyrocket to 11.3 million by 2047. (4) Post 2022 floods, 780,000 houses have been destroyed and 1.27 billion partially damaged. This translates into an immediate need for housing options (17)

Gender & Marginalisation

According to UN Women, more than 50 percent of urban women and girls in developing countries live without access to clean water, adequate sanitation, durable housing or sufficient living area. (18)

Women often lack security of tenure and equal rights to land and property due to inheritance laws, customs and traditions, making them dependent on male family members. In many developing countries like Pakistan, women spend more time supporting home-based activities that are unrecognized and unremunerated, leaving them with little to no savings to acquire assets like housing. (18)

Under Sharia and the law of the land, women in Pakistan are entitled to inherit and own property of their parents and husbands however, the prevailing social structures keep the women from accessing their rights to such assets. Violation of these laws carries imprisonment ranging from 5 to 10 years, along with a fine, or both. (19)

Expected Development Outcome

Investments deployed through the PPP arrangement are expected to help develop 5 million affordable housing units supporting poor households in rural, urban and semi-urban areas. With households accessing a key asset such as affordable housing, cascading impact on improved expenditure on healthcare and education is expected.

Gender & Marginalisation

Since women account for 50 percent of the population, and the gap in ownership and inheritance of property and land has been an issue, the business model through selection of applicants can facilitate and prioritize women's asset ownership.

By ensuring improved working conditions and wages that are at parity across the value chain for affordable housing, developers can promote improvement in quality of participation of women in this space.Low and lower middle-income households stand to benefit through access to affordable housing that leaves them with more disposable income for other essential needs such as health and education.

Primary SDGs addressed

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty

1.4.1 Proportion of population living in households with access to basic services

Current Value

47 percent of urban population lives in 9 major cities and 50 percent of the population lives in slums and squatter settlements due to housing backlog. (20)

Target Value

Providing 5 million affordable housing unit under the PPP mode to decrease the proportion of population living in slums.

Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11)
11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities

11.1.1 Proportion of urban population living in informal, informal settlements or inadequate housing

Current Value

47 percent of urban population lives in 9 major cities and 50 percent of the population lives in slums and squatter settlements due to housing backlog. (20)

Target Value

Providing 5 million affordable housing unit under the PPP mode to decrease the proportion of population living in slums.

Secondary SDGs addressed

2 - Zero Hunger
4 - Quality Education
5 - Gender Equality

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Household level benefits for families currently without adequate provision of housing facilities. Urban and semi-urban population living in slums or temporary makeshift structures.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Women and children are direct beneficiaries of affordable housing units. e.g., 929 women and children were housed and had access to safe living and better water and sanitation conditions by a project done by Real and AMC in Pakistan (15)

Planet

Cities benefit from sustainable housing with better sanitation and livable spaces.

Corporates

Construction companies, Banks, project developers directly benefit from the construction package provided by the GoP to boost the housing industry.

Public sector

At all levels: National (NPHDA, Ministry of Housing), Provincial and Local Government benefit from the availability of a service to public, resultant social and economic benefits such as increase in revenue collection, improved standard of living for the citizenry, among others.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Skilled, unskilled, technical and professional workers gain from more employment opportunities as the housing industry and allied services are expected to grow.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

The girls, children and women also benefit indirectly from safer environment as well from improved water and sanitation conditions.

Corporates

Allied industries and companies in cement, iron steel, wood furnishing and the like benefit from the increase in demand of their products and services.

Public sector

Government will benefit from increased job creation in 120 allied small sectors associated with housing. Furthermore, as already construction contributes to GDP, with higher investment, direct contribution to the GDP will also increase.

Outcome Risks

In low-cost housing, inferior raw material used in construction by the contractors can cause risk of breakage or safety issues for people residing in the buildings. Additionally, if sustainability factors are not considered in the construction and maintenance of housing units, the project development can lead to significant environmental damages and affect Pakistan's NDC commitments.

If the housing industry value chain is not bolstered by low-cost financing and insurance options, the purpose of securing safe, affordable and sustainable homes for Pakistan's citizens will be defeated.

If the properties are not direct transfer of ownership, there is risk that women will continue to be excluded from benefits of home ownership.

Impact Risks

There are concerns in Pakistan over acquisition of land for development of housing projects. The acquisition of agricultural land is highly discouraged and will defeat the purpose of sustainability.

While calculating the impact, there is a risk of inclusion restriction of women into the housing programs thus limiting their access to the programs.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

Reduction in the housing backlog and reconstruction due to floods with 0.1 million houses made available to families every year just by collaboration with NPHDA.

Risk

Increased risk of contribution of CO2 emission if the construction process does not adopt.

Contribution

Initiatives in the affordable housing space can benefit millions of homeless people in Pakistan that constitute 9 percent of the total population. (21)

Impact Thesis

The IOA will provide affordable housing to 0.1 million families every year, spread over rural, peri-rural and urban areas.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

Prime Ministers Construction Package: A package of USD 485 Million was announced for the construction industry. This included tax relief, deregulation policies, reduction in capital gains tax, reduction of sales tax on construction materials, and investor amnesty policies. (2)

The Board of Investment, after provincial and nation-wide consultation with the private sector, has identified ten sectors as "priority for Investment", including "housing and construction" as one of the priority sectors. (2)

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Revised mark-up study for housing finance (for potential house buyers - demand side incentive), Construction sector amnesty ordinance 2021. Cross subsidy to developers and builders under NAPHDA Mandatory Targets to bank for housing and construction finance. (26)

Fiscal incentives: The government has provided extension to avail Incentivized Tax Regime, Package for construction sector (supply side incentives). (26)

In case of special case of special economic zone: Exemption from income tax for ten years for Zone Developers, Co-developers and Zone Enterprises and One time exemption from all custom-duties and taxes on import of capital goods to Zone Developers, Co-developers and Zone Enterprises economic zone: Exemption from income tax for ten years for Zone Developers, Co-developers and Zone Enterprises and One time exemption from all custom-duties and taxes on import of capital goods to Zone Developers, Co-developers and Zone Enterprises (27)

Regulatory Environment

Naya Pakistan Housing and Development Authority Act 2020: An Act to provide for housing and real estate development and other activities related lo land and construction through the establishment of Development Authority (22) Housing Finance Prudential Regulations 2017: These regulations create an enabling environment for banks/DFIs to increase outreach of housing finance.

Timeline Approval Notifications No. SO(I&C-I) 5-18/2020. As per ease of doing business program regulations have been amended to reduce time for approval of applications (23) Timeline Approval Notifications No. SBCA/Secy to DG/2021/18 (24) As per ease of doing business program, regulations have been amended to reduce time for approval of applications in Sindh.

Standardization of building codes for low-cost housing building codes across the country have been standardized. (25)

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Graana, Zameen and other private sector entities in real estate. Developers: Bahria Town, Capital Smart City. Builders: Habib Rafiq Pvt Ltd, Habib Construction Services, Zameen Developments, Principal Builders

Government

Naya Pakistan Housing Development Housing Authority, Lahore, Karachi, Peshawar, Rawalpindi Development Authorities.

Multilaterals

World Bank Group and Asian Development Bank.

Non-Profit

Association of Builders and Developers of Pakistan (ABAD), Chambers of Commerce and Industries, Hands and AMC, Akhuwat. Kashf Foundation.

Public-Private Partnership

National Rural Support Program (NRSP). NAPHDA with private state development firms.

Target Locations

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country static map
rural

Pakistan: Punjab

Locations from the recommendation of NAPHDA for Punjab's rural areas: Shiekupura, Lahore, Okara, Sahiwal, Bhakkar, Khushaab, Faisalabad, Sargodha, Toba Tek Singh). (28)(29)
semi-urban

Pakistan: Punjab

Locations from the recommendation of NAPHDA for Punjab's semi-urban areas: Semi-urban: Chiniot, DG Khan, Khanewal, Lahore (Raiwind), Khushaab, Mandi Bahauddin, Mianvali, Multan and Sargodha) (28)(29)
urban

Pakistan: Punjab

Locations from the recommendation of NAPHDA for Punjab's urban areas: Airport Road Sialkot, Chiniot, Hazro (Attock) and Jhelum) (28)(29)

Pakistan: Sindh

In the context of floods, 83% of the housing loss has been in the province of Sindh alone. (5)

References

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